Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.307868e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.649226e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.103937e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.656516e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.280220e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.996629e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.748788e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020 0.000033
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.453564e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000021 0.000037
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.237562e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000042
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.041366e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000024 0.000047
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.901210e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000055
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.827387e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000030 0.000066
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.677411e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000032 0.000075
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.561466e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000035 0.000087
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.450998e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000038 0.000099
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.354277e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000041 0.000113
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.268014e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000044 0.000130
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.202854e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000048 0.000152
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.142401e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000052 0.000177
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.057196e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000054 0.000193
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.943554e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000057 0.000216
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 9.335526e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000060 0.000240
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.907306e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000021 0.000065 0.000276